Economic impact of COVID-19 pandemic in Armenia

Mariam Voskanyan

Abstract


Relevance. The world will certainly remember 2020 as a serious challenge in all aspects of human life. At the same time, while developed countries, despite the severity of the economic crisis, have sufficient reserves to help their economies go through the recovery growth, developing economies turned out to be the most vulnerable. This article describes the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic for the Armenian economy from the point of view of the most critical factors that have determined the country’s economic development over the past decade.

Research objective. The key goal of the study was to try to identify and assess the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic in Armenia.

Data and methods. The study surveys macroeconomic indicators in Armenia over the past six months. The analysis is based on the statistical data characterizing the economic situation in Armenia and takes into account the key sectors of the economy as well as its weaknesses.

Results. Some sectors of the Armenian economy will be very vulnerable to the crisis resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Conclusion. The main conclusion of the study is that at the moment the economic system of Armenia is at the stage of stagnation and, in the light of the pandemic, will move to the stage of economic recession in the medium term.


Keywords


COVID 19 pandemic, economic consequences, macroeconomic policy, Armenian economy, anti-crisis measures of the Government of the Armenia

Full Text:

PDF

References


Mishra, M. K. (2020). The World after COVID-19 and its impact on Global Economy. P. 13

Monitoring of the measures taken by the EAEU member states aimed at overcoming the negative consequences of the spread of coronavirus infection (COVID-2019). (2020). Retrieved from Eurasian Economic Commission: http://www.eurasiancommission.org/ru/covid-19/Documents/%D0%9C%D0%9E%D0%9D%D0%98%D0%A2%D0%9E%D0%A0%D0%98%D0%9D%D0%93%20%D0%BD%D0%B0%2018%2005.pdf

Ozili, P. K., & Arun, T. (2020). Spillover of COVID-19: impact on the Global Economy. Available at SSRN 3562570. P. 28.

Voskanyan, M. & Galstyan, A. (2018). Assessment of the Prospects of Currency Integration with Russia: The Case of Armenia. Zhurnal novoy economiki (Journal of new economy), 19(5), 16-31 (in Russ). doi: 10.29141/2073-1019-2018-19-5-2

World economic outlook update (2020). Retrieved from International Monetary Fund: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2020/06/24/WEOUpdateJune2020

Antinyan, A., Bassetti, T., Corazzini, L., & Pavesi, F. (2020). Trust in the Healthcare System and COVID-19 Treatment in the Developing World. Survey and Experimental Evidence from Armenia. Survey and Experimental Evidence from Armenia (June 1, 2020).

Brodeur, A., Gray, D. M., Islam, A., & Bhuiyan, S. (2020). A Literature Review of the Economics of COVID-19.

Buck, T., Arnold, M., Chazan, G., & Cookson, C. (2020, March 19). Coronavirus declared a pandemic as fears of economic crisis mount. Retrieved from: https://www.ft.com/content/d72f1e54-6396-11ea-b3f3-fe4680ea68b5.

Conti, V., Cafiero, C. & Sánchez, M. V. Simulating rising undernourishment during the COVID-19 pandemic economic downturn. FAO, (2020).https://doi.org/10.4060/ca8815en.

COVID-19: The Great Lockdown and its Impact on Small Business (2020). SME Competitiveness Outlook.Retrieved from International Trade Centre: https://www.intracen.org/uploadedFiles/intracenorg/Content/Publications/ITCSMECO2020.pdf

Furman, J., Geithner, T., Hubbard, G., & Kearney, M. S. (2020). Promoting Economic Recovery After COVID-19.Washington: Economic Strategy Group, The Aspen Institute.P. 16.

Global Economic Prospects. (2020, June).Washington, DC: World Bank..Retrieved from World bank : https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/33748. DOI: 10.1596/978-1-4648-1553-9

Honorati, M., Yi, S., & Choi, T. (2020). Assessing the Vulnerability of Armenian Temporary Labor Migrants during the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Jackson, J. K., Weiss, M. A., Schwarzenberg, A. B., Nelson, R. M. (2020). Global Economic Effects of COVID-19. Congressional Research Service, 74. P. 117.

Keogh‐Brown, M. R., Wren‐Lewis, S., Edmunds, W. J., Beutels, P., & Smith, R. D. (2010). The possible macroeconomic impact on the UK of an influenza pandemic. Health economics, 19(11), 1345-1360




DOI: https://doi.org/10.15826/recon.2020.6.3.016

Copyright (c) 2020 Mariam Voskanyan

Сertificate of registration media Эл № ФС77-80764 от 28.04.2021
Online ISSN 2412-0731